Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Logan McDonald

Sydney · @ STK

4.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

4.3

5.8

L10

3.9

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Loganvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

10.2Disposals379.3

5.9Kicks220.4

4.1Marks100.9

1.4Tackles50.0

0.3Clearances34.4

1.5Inside 50s52.1

3.7Contested Poss.123.7

1.7Goals12.4

Disposals

Logan10.2

STK379.3

Kicks

Logan5.9

STK220.4

Marks

Logan4.1

STK100.9

Tackles

Logan1.4

STK50.0

Clearances

Logan0.3

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Logan1.5

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Logan3.7

STK123.7

Goals

Logan1.7

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Handballs

158.9per game · league avg 155.5

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands3.1(9)-0.1

Everywhere else3.2(77)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(4)-1.8

Dry games3.3(82)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.