P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Ryan Lester
Ryan Lester
Brisbane Lions · @ CAR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.2
L10
0.5
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0WBDMar 071SYDMar 141STKMar 280COLApr 020NORApr 111MELApr 190ADEApr 262ESSMay 021CARMay 080GEEMay 140SYDJun 250GEEJul 020ESSJul 121WCEJul 18?CARAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ CAR

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ryan16.2
CAR363.6
Kicks
Ryan11.2
CAR210.2
Marks
Ryan7.6
CAR89.8
Tackles
Ryan1.6
CAR59.8
Clearances
Ryan0.4
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Ryan1.9
CAR52.9
Contested Poss.
Ryan4.1
CAR127.7
Goals
Ryan0.0
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.6(13)
Everywhere else0.7(116)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(8)+0.4
Dry games0.6(121)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.