AFL
PProjectPunt
Ryan Lester
Ryan Lester
Brisbane Lions · vs POR
11.5 KIO U
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.2
L5
9.0
L10
10.2
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
16WBDMar 079SYDMar 1415STKMar 2815COLApr 029NORApr 119MELApr 1912ADEApr 2614ESSMay 0213CARMay 085GEEMay 145SYDJun 2512GEEJul 0210ESSJul 1213WCEJul 18?PORJul 2611.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs POR
Game conditionsGabba · BrisbaneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 13:1019.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 2.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ryan16.2
POR361.6
Kicks
Ryan11.2
POR207.9
Marks
Ryan7.6
POR92.1
Tackles
Ryan1.6
POR59.0
Clearances
Ryan0.4
POR32.3
Inside 50s
Ryan1.9
POR49.4
Contested poss.
Ryan4.1
POR127.2
Goals
Ryan0.0
POR11.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

POR concede · Kicks

207.9per game · league avg 213.8
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At Gabba10.6(30)+1.2
Everywhere else9.5(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.5(2)-2.6
Dry games10.1(65)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.