Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

WST

Luke Laulilii

Wests Tigers · @ BRI

13.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

73% (8/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

13.5

11.4

L10

13.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

127.4Run Metres1842.7

2.5Tackle Breaks31.7

3.3Tackles323.2

0.5Tries4.3

0.2Try Assists3.2

0.6Line Breaks4.7

0.5Offloads10.1

39.5Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Luke127.4

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Luke2.5

BRI31.7

Tackles

Luke3.3

BRI323.2

Tries

Luke0.5

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Luke0.2

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Luke0.6

BRI4.7

Offloads

Luke0.5

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Luke39.5

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium19.5(2)+8.4

Everywhere else11.1(19)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-12.5

Dry games12.5(20)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.