AFL
PProjectPunt
Jake Waterman
Jake Waterman
West Coast · @ FRE
12.5 DIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
12.5
L5
11.4
L10
12.5
High
19
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11GCSMar 1514NORMar 2213PORMar 297SYDApr 0412GEEApr 1215FREApr 199STKApr 2619RICMay 0215MELMay 108GWSMay 1710COLMay 2316ESSMay 3119PORJun 0612NORJun 1313CARJun 2710ADEJul 0311WBDJul 1211BRIJul 18?FREJul 2412.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ FRE
Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 20 · 2026-07-24 20:1010.4°C0mm (0%)🌬 7.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jake12.5
FRE340.9
Kicks
Jake10.1
FRE201.7
Marks
Jake6.5
FRE86.9
Tackles
Jake1.4
FRE56.4
Clearances
Jake0.1
FRE33.1
Inside 50s
Jake2.2
FRE48.9
Contested poss.
Jake3.8
FRE124.7
Goals
Jake2.2
FRE9.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

FRE concede · Disposals

340.9per game · league avg 369.3
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Perth Stadium12.4(25)+0.6
Everywhere else11.8(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)16.0(1)+4.0
Dry games12.0(45)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.