P
Current to Round 21, today
PEN
Trent Toelau
Penrith Panthers · @ MEL
17.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
17.6
L5
28.0
L10
17.6
High
50
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
18DOLMay 010WSTMay 100PARMay 1620CBYMay 2216SYDMay 30☂0NEWJun 0523CBRJun 2126MANJun 279GLDJul 12☂50SYDJul 1732SOUJul 24?MELJul 3117.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Trent30.0
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Trent0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Trent16.1
MEL338.8
Tries
Trent0.1
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Trent0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Trent0.2
MEL6.3
Offloads
Trent0.3
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Trent6.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park9.6(5)-6.7
Everywhere else16.3(21)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(3)-0.8
Dry games15.1(23)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.