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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
WBDRound 22Thu 08-06 · 19:30NOR
RSRyley SandersHB14.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus BontempelliHB12.5Tom LiberatoreTom LiberatoreHB12.5Matthew KennedyMatthew KennedyHB11.5Adam TreloarAdam TreloarHB9.5Joel FreijahJoel FreijahHB8.5Ed RichardsEd RichardsHB8.5Bailey WilliamsBailey WilliamsHB8.5Tim EnglishTim EnglishHB6.5Bailey DaleBailey DaleHB6.5LMLachlan McNeilHB6.5LBLachlan BrambleHB6.5
Harry SheezelHarry SheezelHB16.5Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-UniackeHB13.5FOFinn OSullivanHB10.5Tristan XerriTristan XerriHB10.5Luke ParkerLuke Parker

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

RSRyley Sanders14.5Marcus BontempelliMarcus Bontempelli12.5Tom LiberatoreTom Liberatore12.5Matthew KennedyMatthew Kennedy11.5Adam TreloarAdam Treloar9.5Joel FreijahJoel Freijah8.5
HB
9.5
Caleb DanielCaleb DanielHB9.5
Jy SimpkinJy SimpkinHB9.5
Colby McKercherColby McKercherHB8.5
George WardlawGeorge WardlawHB8.5
Dylan StephensDylan StephensHB8.5
CHCooper HarveyHB8.5
Bailey ScottBailey ScottHB7.5
Ed Richards
Ed Richards
8.5
Bailey WilliamsBailey Williams8.5
Tim EnglishTim English6.5
Bailey DaleBailey Dale6.5
LMLachlan McNeil6.5
LBLachlan Bramble6.5
Harry SheezelHarry Sheezel16.5
Luke Davies-UniackeLuke Davies-Uniacke13.5
FOFinn OSullivan10.5
Tristan XerriTristan Xerri10.5
Luke ParkerLuke Parker9.5
Caleb DanielCaleb Daniel9.5
Jy SimpkinJy Simpkin9.5
Colby McKercherColby McKercher8.5
George WardlawGeorge Wardlaw8.5
Dylan StephensDylan Stephens8.5
CHCooper Harvey8.5
Bailey ScottBailey Scott7.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Bailey Dale
Bailey Dale
Western Bulldogs · vs NOR
6.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.8
L5
6.6
L10
7.3
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o6.5
8BRIMar 078GWSMar 145ADEMar 205ESSApr 052HAWApr 118GEEApr 176SYDApr 239FREMay 015PORMay 088CARMay 1612MELMay 246COLMay 3012HAWJun 057ADEJun 115STKJun 213SYDJul 036WCEJul 12?NORAug 066.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-06 19:30Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Baileyvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game
26.9
97
Disposalsunfavorable
6
344.1
Bailey 26.9/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
20.2
100
Kicksunfavorable
6
199.4
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.6
67
Marksneutral
53
91.3
Bailey 4.6/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.6
27
Tacklesunfavorable
35
54.0
Bailey 1.6/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.7
46
Clearancesneutral
41
34.3
Bailey 0.7/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.7
39
Inside 50sunfavorable
35
52.6
Bailey 1.7/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.2
58
Contested Poss.unfavorable
0
120.3
Bailey 5.2/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.1
29
Goalsneutral
71
13.4
Bailey 0.1/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsunfavorable
Bailey26.9
97
NOR344.1
6
Bailey 26.9/game
NOR concedes 344.1/game · league avg 369.6
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksunfavorable
Bailey20.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

144.7per game · league avg 155.7
#17 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands7.6(77)+1.3
Everywhere else6.4(78)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.7(9)-1.4
Dry games7.1(146)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs NOR · Handballs

Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+20%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26STKTom De Koning6.78+20%
07-26STKMason Wood6.79+35%
07-26STKHugh Boxshall5.810+71%
07-26STKRyan Byrnes7.15-29%
07-26STKMitch Owens6.29+45%
07-26STKTobie Travaglia7.55-33%
07-26STKCallum Wilkie7.38+9%
07-18MELBlake Howes7.611+45%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.
100
NOR199.4
6
Bailey 20.2/game
NOR concedes 199.4/game · league avg 213.9
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Bailey4.6
67
NOR91.3
53
Bailey 4.6/game
NOR concedes 91.3/game · league avg 93.5
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Bailey1.6
27
NOR54.0
35
Bailey 1.6/game
NOR concedes 54.0/game · league avg 56.5
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Bailey0.7
46
NOR34.3
41
Bailey 0.7/game
NOR concedes 34.3/game · league avg 35.7
#11 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sunfavorable
Bailey1.7
39
NOR52.6
35
Bailey 1.7/game
NOR concedes 52.6/game · league avg 52.9
#12 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Bailey5.2
58
NOR120.3
0
Bailey 5.2/game
NOR concedes 120.3/game · league avg 128.8
#18 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Bailey0.1
29
NOR13.4
71
Bailey 0.1/game
NOR concedes 13.4/game · league avg 12.8
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races