Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Conor McKenna

Brisbane Lions · @ CAR

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

67% (8/12)

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Avg

1.8

2.0

L10

1.9

High

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for Round 21 @ CAR

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Conorvs all playersStatCAR concedePer game

12.3Disposals363.6

9.5Kicks210.2

2.3Marks89.8

1.8Tackles59.8

0.3Clearances35.7

4.2Inside 50s52.9

3.3Contested Poss.127.7

1.4Goals12.8

Disposals

Conor12.3

CAR363.6

Kicks

Conor9.5

CAR210.2

Marks

Conor2.3

CAR89.8

Tackles

Conor1.8

CAR59.8

Clearances

Conor0.3

CAR35.7

Inside 50s

Conor4.2

CAR52.9

Contested Poss.

Conor3.3

CAR127.7

Goals

Conor1.4

CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Tackles

59.8per game · league avg 56.9

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.1(7)-0.1

Everywhere else1.3(54)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)+0.3

Dry games1.2(59)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.