Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

DOL

Tevita Naufahu

Dolphins · @ BRI

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.1

3.0

L10

2.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tevitavs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

114.9Run Metres1842.7

3.3Tackle Breaks31.7

2.1Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.9Line Breaks4.7

0.1Offloads10.1

31.5Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Tevita114.9

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Tevita3.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Tevita2.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Tevita0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Tevita0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Tevita0.9

BRI4.7

Offloads

Tevita0.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Tevita31.5

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium2.2(11)-0.6

Everywhere else2.8(9)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+1.6

Dry games2.4(19)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.