P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Brandon Smith
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
56.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
56.6
L5
61.4
L10
56.6
High
94
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
71CBRApr 1190SGIApr 180MELApr 2534MANJun 0464BRIJun 1156PARJun 25☂48PENJul 0369NEWJul 1294CBRJul 1840MELJul 24?NQLJul 3056.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brandon56.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Brandon1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Brandon22.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Brandon0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Brandon0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Brandon0.2
NQL5.8
Offloads
Brandon0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Brandon19.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Run Metres

1759.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium46.5(2)-26.3
Everywhere else72.8(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)62.0(9)-11.3
Dry games73.3(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.