P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Brandon Smith
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
29.5 FPO —U —
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
29.8
L5
32.0
L10
29.8
High
51
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
27CBRApr 1149SGIApr 1812MELApr 2522MANJun 0428BRIJun 1144PARJun 25☂23PENJul 034NEWJul 1251CBRJul 1838MELJul 24?NQLJul 3029.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brandon56.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Brandon1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Brandon22.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Brandon0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Brandon0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Brandon0.2
NQL5.8
Offloads
Brandon0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Brandon19.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Fantasy Points

664.8per game · league avg 645.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium43.5(2)+4.6
Everywhere else38.9(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)37.2(9)-2.0
Dry games39.2(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.