P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Brandon Smith
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
1.4
L10
1.1
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CBRApr 111SGIApr 180MELApr 252MANJun 041BRIJun 111PARJun 25☂1PENJul 030NEWJul 122CBRJul 183MELJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brandon56.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Brandon1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Brandon22.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Brandon0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Brandon0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Brandon0.2
NQL5.8
Offloads
Brandon0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Brandon19.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium2.0(2)
Everywhere else2.0(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.2(9)+0.3
Dry games1.9(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.