P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Brandon Smith
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
22.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.3
L5
24.0
L10
22.3
High
28
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
20CBRApr 1128SGIApr 1811MELApr 2522MANJun 0422BRIJun 1125PARJun 25☂27PENJul 0326NEWJul 1223CBRJul 1819MELJul 24?NQLJul 3022.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.7°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brandon56.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Brandon1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Brandon22.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Brandon0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Brandon0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Brandon0.2
NQL5.8
Offloads
Brandon0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Brandon19.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackles

338.9per game · league avg 345.6
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium12.0(2)-14.0
Everywhere else26.0(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)25.9(9)+0.1
Dry games25.8(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.