P
Current to Round 21, today
MEL
Brandon Smith
Melbourne Storm · @ NQL
0.5 TAO U
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.4
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0CBRApr 112SGIApr 180MELApr 250MANJun 040BRIJun 111PARJun 250PENJul 030NEWJul 121CBRJul 180MELJul 24?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.7°C0mm (0%)🌬 15.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Brandon56.6
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Brandon1.1
NQL36.2
Tackles
Brandon22.3
NQL338.9
Tries
Brandon0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Brandon0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Brandon0.2
NQL5.8
Offloads
Brandon0.2
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Brandon19.7
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Try Assists

3.8per game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Try Assists

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.0(2)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(99)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(9)+0.1
Dry games0.2(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.