P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Alex Neal-Bullen
Alex Neal-Bullen
Adelaide · @ ESS
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
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Avg
6.7
L5
5.8
L10
6.8
High
14
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12COLMar 146WBDMar 202GEEMar 2610FREApr 034CARApr 095STKApr 187PORMay 015RICMay 102NORMay 1614HAWMay 219GEEJun 049WBDJun 114MELJun 209PORJun 274WCEJul 037GCSJul 115SYDJul 17?ESSAug 026.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Alex9.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Alex4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Alex3.8
ESS50.5
Clearances
Alex1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Alex2.9
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Alex5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Alex0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands7.0(3)+0.1
Everywhere else6.9(39)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(5)-1.0
Dry games7.0(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.