P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Alex Neal-Bullen
Alex Neal-Bullen
Adelaide · @ ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.8
L5
4.2
L10
4.2
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 141WBDMar 203GEEMar 262FREApr 036CARApr 092STKApr 186PORMay 011RICMay 105NORMay 163HAWMay 215GEEJun 047WBDJun 114MELJun 204PORJun 273WCEJul 037GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?ESSAug 023.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ ESS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Alex16.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Alex9.9
ESS232.6
Marks
Alex4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Alex3.8
ESS50.5
Clearances
Alex1.0
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Alex2.9
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Alex5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Alex0.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands4.0(3)
Everywhere else4.0(39)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.8(5)+0.9
Dry games3.9(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.