Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Francis Evans

Carlton · vs GCS

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

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Avg

3.5

3.4

L10

3.1

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs GCS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Francisvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

13.6Disposals359.7

8.1Kicks206.6

2.7Marks83.4

3.5Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

2.6Inside 50s52.9

5.3Contested Poss.128.1

0.7Goals13.2

Disposals

Francis13.6

GCS359.7

Kicks

Francis8.1

GCS206.6

Marks

Francis2.7

GCS83.4

Tackles

Francis3.5

GCS64.7

Clearances

Francis0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Francis2.6

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Francis5.3

GCS128.1

Goals

Francis0.7

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.9(7)-0.7

Everywhere else3.5(19)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(2)+2.9

Dry games3.1(24)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.