Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Ashton Ward

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ BRI

41.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

55% (6/11)

enter odds to compare

Avg

41.5

45.8

L10

44.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Ashtonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

65.5Run Metres1842.7

1.0Tackle Breaks31.7

15.4Tackles323.2

0.1Tries4.3

0.9Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.3Offloads10.1

9.3Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Ashton65.5

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Ashton1.0

BRI31.7

Tackles

Ashton15.4

BRI323.2

Tries

Ashton0.1

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Ashton0.9

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Ashton0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Ashton0.3

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Ashton9.3

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium33.0(3)-7.1

Everywhere else40.1(14)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)44.0(3)+6.2

Dry games37.8(14)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.