P
Current to Round 21, today
SOU
Ashton Ward
South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ NQL
1.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.0
L5
1.4
L10
1.1
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0DOLMar 08☂2CROMay 090DOLMay 151NQLMay 241MANJun 040BRIJun 112PARJun 25☂0PENJul 032NEWJul 121CBRJul 182MELJul 24?NQLJul 301.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 19.8°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ashton65.5
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ashton1.0
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ashton15.4
NQL338.9
Tries
Ashton0.1
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ashton0.9
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ashton0.1
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ashton0.3
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ashton9.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Tackle Breaks

36.2per game · league avg 32.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium1.0(1)+0.2
Everywhere else0.8(16)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(3)+0.6
Dry games0.7(14)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.