P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Freddy Lussick
New Zealand Warriors · @ PEN
26.5 RMO —U —
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
26.9
L5
38.2
L10
35.3
High
80
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 1421SYDMar 2040PARMar 2829MELApr 030CBYApr 0922DOLApr 17☂20NEWApr 2636MANMay 0358CBRMay 100SGIMay 1722WARMay 3146WSTJun 0735GLDJun 2033NQLJun 2719SOUJul 0324BRIJul 16☂80PARJul 23?PENAug 0126.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ PEN
Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Freddy26.9
PEN1561.5
Tackle Breaks
Freddy0.6
PEN30.5
Tackles
Freddy26.1
PEN369.6
Tries
Freddy0.2
PEN2.5
Try Assists
Freddy0.1
PEN2.3
Line Breaks
Freddy0.2
PEN3.9
Offloads
Freddy0.2
PEN8.2
Post Contact Metres
Freddy10.2
PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Run Metres

1561.5per game · league avg 1690.5
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Run Metres

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)
Everywhere else17.8(74)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(8)-7.2
Dry games18.6(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.