P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Freddy Lussick
New Zealand Warriors · @ PEN
3.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.3
L5
4.2
L10
4.3
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 142SYDMar 204PARMar 284MELApr 030CBYApr 093DOLApr 17☂3NEWApr 266MANMay 037CBRMay 100SGIMay 174WARMay 315WSTJun 074GLDJun 202NQLJun 274SOUJul 033BRIJul 16☂8PARJul 23?PENAug 013.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ PEN
Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Freddy26.9
PEN1561.5
Tackle Breaks
Freddy0.6
PEN30.5
Tackles
Freddy26.1
PEN369.6
Tries
Freddy0.2
PEN2.5
Try Assists
Freddy0.1
PEN2.3
Line Breaks
Freddy0.2
PEN3.9
Offloads
Freddy0.2
PEN8.2
Post Contact Metres
Freddy10.2
PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Runs

181.3per game · league avg 186.4
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Runs

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)
Everywhere else2.3(74)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(8)-0.8
Dry games2.4(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.