Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, 2 days ago

WAR

Freddy Lussick

New Zealand Warriors · @ WST

3.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

3.3

4.2

L10

4.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 16.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 12.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Freddyvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

26.9Run Metres1749.4

0.6Tackle Breaks33.3

26.1Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.1Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

0.2Offloads9.1

10.2Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Freddy26.9

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Freddy0.6

WST33.3

Tackles

Freddy26.1

WST339.1

Tries

Freddy0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Freddy0.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Freddy0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Freddy0.2

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Freddy10.2

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Runs

186.1per game · league avg 186.4

#8 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At CommBank Stadium4.2(10)+2.2

Everywhere else2.0(64)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(8)-0.8

Dry games2.4(66)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.