P
Current to Round 21, today
WAR
Freddy Lussick
New Zealand Warriors · @ PEN
0.5 TBO —U —
Hit rate
28% (5/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.4
L10
0.5
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0BRIMar 060CROMar 140SYDMar 202PARMar 282MELApr 030CBYApr 090DOLApr 17☂2NEWApr 260MANMay 030CBRMay 100SGIMay 170WARMay 313WSTJun 070GLDJun 202NQLJun 270SOUJul 030BRIJul 16☂0PARJul 23?PENAug 010.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ PEN
Game conditionsGlen Willow Oval · MudgeeRound 22 · 2026-08-01 17:30☁ 10°C☂ 0mm (1%)🌬 8.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Freddy26.9
PEN1561.5
Tackle Breaks
Freddy0.6
PEN30.5
Tackles
Freddy26.1
PEN369.6
Tries
Freddy0.2
PEN2.5
Try Assists
Freddy0.1
PEN2.3
Line Breaks
Freddy0.2
PEN3.9
Offloads
Freddy0.2
PEN8.2
Post Contact Metres
Freddy10.2
PEN546.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Tackle Breaks

30.5per game · league avg 32.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Glen Willow Oval—(0)
Everywhere else0.4(74)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(8)-0.3
Dry games0.5(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.