Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

NQL

Jason Taumalolo

North Queensland Cowboys · @ BRI

2.5 TBO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

2.3

2.8

L10

3.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jasonvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

156.7Run Metres1842.7

2.3Tackle Breaks31.7

19.1Tackles323.2

0.0Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.1Line Breaks4.7

0.8Offloads10.1

63.0Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Jason156.7

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Jason2.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Jason19.1

BRI323.2

Tries

Jason0.0

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Jason0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Jason0.1

BRI4.7

Offloads

Jason0.8

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Jason63.0

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackle Breaks

31.7per game · league avg 32.6

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At Suncorp Stadium1.7(13)-0.6

Everywhere else2.3(94)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.4(5)+1.3

Dry games2.1(102)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.