P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Daniel Curtin
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
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Avg
4.6
L5
5.0
L10
4.8
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3PORMay 012RICMay 106NORMay 16☂4HAWMay 219GEEJun 042WBDJun 116MELJun 205PORJun 272WCEJul 038GCSJul 114SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

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Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel14.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Daniel9.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Daniel4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Daniel3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Daniel1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Daniel2.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Daniel5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Daniel0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands4.3(3)
Everywhere else4.3(40)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.6(5)+2.6
Dry games4.0(38)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.