Bailey Smith
Geelong · @ MEL
1.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
29% (5/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.0
L5
0.6
L10
0.9
High
3
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly32.4Disposals382.0
19.8Kicks220.8
4.2Marks101.2
4.9Tackles51.0
5.5Clearances35.6
7.2Inside 50s52.3
11.4Contested poss.129.3
0.5Goals13.1
Disposals
Bailey32.4
MEL382.0
Kicks
Bailey19.8
MEL220.8
Marks
Bailey4.2
MEL101.2
Tackles
Bailey4.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Bailey5.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey7.2
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Bailey11.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Bailey0.5
MEL13.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Goal Assists
10.3per game · league avg 9.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goal Assists
At M.C.G.1.1(11)+0.3
Everywhere else0.8(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Goal Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-0.4
Dry games0.9(38)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.