Bailey Smith
Geelong · @ MEL
12.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
12.6
L5
12.0
L10
14.0
High
20
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly32.4Disposals382.0
19.8Kicks220.8
4.2Marks101.2
4.9Tackles51.0
5.5Clearances35.6
7.2Inside 50s52.3
11.4Contested poss.129.3
0.5Goals13.1
Disposals
Bailey32.4
MEL382.0
Kicks
Bailey19.8
MEL220.8
Marks
Bailey4.2
MEL101.2
Tackles
Bailey4.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Bailey5.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey7.2
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Bailey11.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Bailey0.5
MEL13.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Handballs
161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Handballs
At M.C.G.13.1(11)+1.5
Everywhere else11.6(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Handballs
Wet games (≥1mm)16.5(2)+4.7
Dry games11.8(38)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.