P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Bailey Smith
Bailey Smith
Geelong · @ COL
12.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
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Avg
12.6
L5
12.0
L10
14.0
High
20
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6GCSMar 069FREMar 1415ADEMar 2611HAWApr 0610WCEApr 129WBDApr 1714PORApr 2512NORMay 0219COLMay 0913BRIMay 1420SYDMay 2316CARMay 2915ADEJun 048GCSJun 1214BRIJul 0211GWSJul 1112STKJul 16?COLJul 3012.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

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Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9°C☂ 0.2mm (2%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey32.4
COL389.3
Kicks
Bailey19.8
COL227.3
Marks
Bailey4.2
COL105.6
Tackles
Bailey4.9
COL48.4
Clearances
Bailey5.5
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey7.2
COL55.2
Contested Poss.
Bailey11.4
COL128.0
Goals
Bailey0.5
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.13.1(11)+1.5
Everywhere else11.6(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)16.5(2)+4.7
Dry games11.8(38)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.