AFL
PProjectPunt
Daniel Rioli
Daniel Rioli
Gold Coast · @ CAR
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
1.0
L10
0.9
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GEEMar 060WCEMar 151RICMar 210MELApr 050SYDApr 110ESSApr 182HAWApr 251GWSMay 030STKMay 091PORMay 151NORMay 230BRIJun 061GEEJun 121HAWJun 192WBDJul 19?CARJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ CAR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel20.4
CAR363.6
Kicks
Daniel10.8
CAR210.2
Marks
Daniel4.1
CAR89.8
Tackles
Daniel2.6
CAR59.8
Clearances
Daniel0.4
CAR35.7
Inside 50s
Daniel2.7
CAR52.9
Contested poss.
Daniel3.5
CAR127.7
Goals
Daniel0.1
CAR12.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

CAR concede · Frees For

20.1per game · league avg 19.0
#6 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.0(4)+0.3
Everywhere else0.7(31)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-0.8
Dry games0.8(32)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.