Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Daniel Rioli

Gold Coast · vs MEL

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

13% (2/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.1

0.0

L10

0.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs MEL

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Danielvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

20.4Disposals382.0

10.8Kicks220.8

4.1Marks101.2

2.6Tackles51.0

0.4Clearances35.6

2.7Inside 50s52.3

3.5Contested Poss.129.3

0.1Goals13.1

Disposals

Daniel20.4

MEL382.0

Kicks

Daniel10.8

MEL220.8

Marks

Daniel4.1

MEL101.2

Tackles

Daniel2.6

MEL51.0

Clearances

Daniel0.4

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Daniel2.7

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Daniel3.5

MEL129.3

Goals

Daniel0.1

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Goals

13.1per game · league avg 12.7

#7 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goals

At Carrara0.4(13)+0.2

Everywhere else0.2(22)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)+0.4

Dry games0.3(32)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.