Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, yesterday

SOU

Cameron Murray

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ NQL

12.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

12.1

12.6

L10

11.8

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL

Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:50☁ 20.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 16.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Cameronvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game

103.9Run Metres1759.5

2.1Tackle Breaks36.2

35.4Tackles338.9

0.2Tries4.5

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks5.8

0.7Offloads10.1

33.8Post Contact Metres610.3

Run Metres

Cameron103.9

NQL1759.5

Tackle Breaks

Cameron2.1

NQL36.2

Tackles

Cameron35.4

NQL338.9

Tries

Cameron0.2

NQL4.5

Try Assists

Cameron0.1

NQL3.8

Line Breaks

Cameron0.1

NQL5.8

Offloads

Cameron0.7

NQL10.1

Post Contact Metres

Cameron33.8

NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Runs

184.6per game · league avg 186.4

#10 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Runs

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium18.0(1)+2.9

Everywhere else15.1(92)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)13.8(9)-1.5

Dry games15.2(84)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.