Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

SOU

Cameron Murray

South Sydney Rabbitohs · @ SGI

52.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

57% (8/14)

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Avg

52.1

58.0

L10

52.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Cameronvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

103.9Run Metres1917.7

2.1Tackle Breaks30.6

35.4Tackles343.1

0.2Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.1Line Breaks6.0

0.7Offloads8.5

33.8Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Cameron103.9

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Cameron2.1

SGI30.6

Tackles

Cameron35.4

SGI343.1

Tries

Cameron0.2

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Cameron0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Cameron0.1

SGI6.0

Offloads

Cameron0.7

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Cameron33.8

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Fantasy Points

681.7per game · league avg 645.9

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At WIN Stadium71.0(1)+13.4

Everywhere else57.6(92)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)53.9(9)-4.2

Dry games58.1(84)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.