AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Barrass
Tom Barrass
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.0
L5
3.0
L10
3.8
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 075ESSMar 136SYDMar 194GEEApr 069WBDApr 116PORApr 184GCSApr 254COLApr 300FREMay 074GCSJun 193GWSJun 264MELJul 042CARJul 112RICJul 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Tom5.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Tom4.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Tom0.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Tom0.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Tom0.5
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Tom3.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Tom0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.9(17)+0.1
Everywhere else3.8(22)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(5)-0.7
Dry games3.9(34)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.